Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.657727 0.840980 1.047048 1.293295 1.576912 1.890813 2.261941
2025-09-21 0.408670 0.637349 0.927544 1.310693 1.791280 2.362798 3.082216
2025-09-28 0.242353 0.472319 0.803686 1.284854 1.935486 2.756499 3.841928
2025-10-05 0.151983 0.374121 0.736464 1.309022 2.132953 3.222187 4.716355
2025-10-12 0.092165 0.295257 0.672279 1.318044 2.300622 3.652416 5.564286
2025-10-19 0.049089 0.220118 0.589050 1.277146 2.383856 3.965464 6.266566
2025-10-26 0.024608 0.165580 0.522751 1.246371 2.470840 4.280341 6.977621
2025-11-02 0.012536 0.132079 0.485648 1.255823 2.615227 4.678935 7.814306
2025-11-09 0.004577 0.096523 0.428230 1.214521 2.668727 4.941036 8.463159
2025-11-16 0.002101 0.083097 0.420696 1.267409 2.880707 5.447236 9.474338
2025-11-23 0.000543 0.065266 0.391929 1.270135 3.003475 5.818815 10.298395
2025-11-30 0.000180 0.059695 0.399162 1.350739 3.267794 6.418638 11.471662
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.051120 0.392958 1.402376 3.487077 6.962230 12.587431
2025-12-14 NaN 0.041216 0.375835 1.425655 3.655282 7.430628 13.604328
2025-12-21 NaN 0.029595 0.341718 1.400735 3.729432 7.748355 14.401388
2025-12-28 NaN 0.023630 0.329146 1.427666 3.903877 8.234737 15.465211
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017936 0.311740 1.437905 4.044500 8.667651 16.454467
2026-01-11 NaN 0.011403 0.277952 1.394789 4.073016 8.911314 17.154330
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007070 0.250293 1.362241 4.118844 9.183469 17.902145
2026-01-25 NaN 0.004906 0.237489 1.372376 4.254099 9.612287 18.903789
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002521 0.210269 1.328491 4.268555 9.829346 19.572025
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002029 0.212207 1.384761 4.506031 10.444927 20.887343
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001172 0.199924 1.387670 4.623792 10.850078 21.870533